Live REMIT signals, a CCGT-anchored premium score, and a 06:00 brief, sized to your book.
Implied £118.40 · N2EX £101.12
SRMC £89.50 · Wind 8.2 GW
3,240 MW unplanned REMIT active
Regime: transitional → gas-dominated
The same feed you get in-product. Every notice scored, sized, and explained in plain English.
UNPLANNED · HIGH · 645 MW
Unavailable from 13 Apr 06:00 - return unknown
645 MW of baseload removed without notice. Tightens residual demand by ~1.5 GW when wind drops below 8 GW. Watch GB Power front-month.
PLANNED · MEDIUM · 920 MW
Maintenance outage 14-22 Apr
Scheduled peaker maintenance. Market has priced this - no immediate action unless unplanned extension.
INTERCONNECTOR · HIGH · 1,000 MW
Reduced capacity from 2,000 MW to 1,000 MW
Half of IFA1 flow removed. With French nuclear at 72% availability, this reduces import optionality during peak demand periods.
Zephyr decomposes intraday P&L into the physical drivers that caused it. Wind, gas, REMIT, carbon - each attributed separately.
Long 50 MW · GB Power Q3 2026 Baseload
Entry £89.50/MWh · Current £101.12/MWh
Today's Attribution
Wind attribution
+£14,200
+£14.20/MWh price suppression benefit
Wind at 8.2 GW sits 4.1 GW above the 7-day baseline, suppressing GB day-ahead prices and directly benefiting the long power position.
REMIT attribution
+£4,800
+£4.80/MWh unplanned outage uplift
3,240 MW of unplanned outages active, 1,840 MW above the planned baseline. Tighter-than-expected supply adds uplift to the long position.
Attribution updates every 5 minutes as physical conditions change.
Published at 06:00 GMT every trading day, personalised to your open positions.
Morning brief · 06:00 GMT
Physical premium model shows moderate firming with a normalised score of +4.8, as market prices at £101.12/MWh sit £17.28/MWh below the physically-implied £118.40/MWh. Wind generation at 8.2 GW with solar adding 1.1 GW drives residual demand to 22.4 GW. Key overnight REMIT signal: Drax Unit 4's unplanned 645 MW outage continuing through multiple periods.
BOOK TOUCHPOINTS
The long 50 MW GB Power Q3 2026 Baseload entered at £89.50 is well-supported - today's physical conditions suggest the market is underpricing tightness risk by £17/MWh. The short 25,000 therm NBP Winter 2026 is correctly positioned given temperature-suppressed demand; TTF at €50/MWh with weak heating load supports the bias.
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